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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
1 - 3
Stoke

Whittaker (2')
Sorinola (28'), Grimes (45+2'), Cabango (46'), Manning (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Neil (29'), Gayle (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Stoke City

Given the inconsistencies of both teams, this is a difficult match to call. Nevertheless, with Stoke having lost three away games in succession, we cannot back the visitors, with Swansea potentially edging this fixture by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
45.17% (-1.686 -1.69) 25.8% (0.542 0.54) 29.03% (1.146 1.15)
Both teams to score 52.51% (-0.956 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-1.601 -1.6)51.33% (1.602 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (-1.415 -1.42)73.15% (1.417 1.42)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-1.437 -1.44)22.67% (1.438 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.68% (-2.177 -2.18)56.32% (2.18 2.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91% (0.028000000000006 0.03)32.09% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)68.56% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 45.16%
    Stoke City 29.03%
    Draw 25.8%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.16%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.455 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.523 0.52)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.3 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.03%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
67.0%
Draw
22.7%
Stoke City
10.2%
88
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Swansea
2-0
Stoke
Fulton (30'), Palmer (87')
Grimes (53'), Palmer (85')

Smith (51'), McClean (84'), Gunn (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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