Championship

Championship | Gameweek 29

Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
1 - 3
Stoke

Whittaker (2')
Sorinola (28'), Grimes (45+2'), Cabango (46'), Manning (55')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Neil (29'), Gayle (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Stoke City

Given the inconsistencies of both teams, this is a difficult match to call. Nevertheless, with Stoke having lost three away games in succession, we cannot back the visitors, with Swansea potentially edging this fixture by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Stoke City
45.17% ( -1.69)	25.8% ( 0.54)	29.03% ( 1.15)

Both teams to score 52.51% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.68% (

-1.6)

51.33% (

1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.85% (

-1.42)

73.15% (

1.42)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.33% (

-1.44)

22.67% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.68% (

-2.18)

56.32% (

2.18)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.91% (

0.03)

32.09% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.44% (

0.03)

68.56% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 45.16%

Stoke City 29.03%

Draw 25.8%

Swansea City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.16%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.03%