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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Birmingham logo

Swansea
3 - 4
Birmingham

Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Fisher (13')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Mejbri (90+8'), Bacuna (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Birmingham City

Swansea need to find some consistency if they are to finish inside the top six this season, and a clash with a stuttering Birmingham side is the type of game they must take maximum points from. Birmingham have lost their last five league matches but showed signs of improvement in their FA Cup defeat on Tuesday night, and we believe they will do enough to earn a point in South Wales on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
54.3% (0.0040000000000049 0) 23.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)48.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)70.5% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)17.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 54.29%
    Birmingham City 21.98%
    Draw 23.72%
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 9.67%
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.98%

How you voted: Swansea vs Birmingham

Swansea City
74.3%
Draw
17.1%
Birmingham City
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Manning (15')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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