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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Swansea logo

QPR
1 - 1
Swansea

Lowe (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fulton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Swansea City

With both teams in a position where defeat would leave them well off the pace in the promotion hunt, we expect a tense encounter in West London. With that in mind, a low-scoring draw could play out, one which may not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawSwansea City
32.69% (0.3 0.3) 26.76% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 40.54% (-0.343 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.12% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (-0.104 -0.1)53.87% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)75.33% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (0.14800000000001 0.15)30.81% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (0.173 0.17)67.09% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (-0.229 -0.23)26.11% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (-0.31 -0.31)61.17% (0.312 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 32.69%
    Swansea City 40.54%
    Draw 26.76%
Queens Park RangersDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.69%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.54%

How you voted: QPR vs Swansea

Queens Park Rangers
46.0%
Draw
34.0%
Swansea City
20.0%
50
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Swansea
1-0
QPR
Piroe (21')
Grimes (34'), Paterson (39'), Piroe (77')
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
QPR
0-0
Swansea

Odubajo (69'), Johansen (76'), Austin (90+1')

Smith (29'), Cabango (47'), Downes (72'), Obafemi (90+4')
Downes (90+1')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Swansea
0-1
QPR

Fulton (23')
Dykes (89')
Dickie (55'), Austin (85'), Hamalainen (90+1'), Lumley (90+3')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
QPR
0-2
Swansea

Ball (79')
Ayew (44'), Lowe (54')
Dhanda (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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