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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Swansea logo

QPR
1 - 1
Swansea

Lowe (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fulton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Swansea City

With both teams in a position where defeat would leave them well off the pace in the promotion hunt, we expect a tense encounter in West London. With that in mind, a low-scoring draw could play out, one which may not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawSwansea City
32.69% (0.3 0.3) 26.76% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 40.54% (-0.343 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.12% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (-0.104 -0.1)53.87% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)75.33% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (0.14800000000001 0.15)30.81% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (0.173 0.17)67.09% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (-0.229 -0.23)26.11% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (-0.31 -0.31)61.17% (0.312 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 32.69%
    Swansea City 40.54%
    Draw 26.76%
Queens Park RangersDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.69%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.54%

How you voted: QPR vs Swansea

Queens Park Rangers
46.0%
Draw
34.0%
Swansea City
20.0%
50
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Swansea
1-0
QPR
Piroe (21')
Grimes (34'), Paterson (39'), Piroe (77')
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
QPR
0-0
Swansea

Odubajo (69'), Johansen (76'), Austin (90+1')

Smith (29'), Cabango (47'), Downes (72'), Obafemi (90+4')
Downes (90+1')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Swansea
0-1
QPR

Fulton (23')
Dykes (89')
Dickie (55'), Austin (85'), Hamalainen (90+1'), Lumley (90+3')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
QPR
0-2
Swansea

Ball (79')
Ayew (44'), Lowe (54')
Dhanda (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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