FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Fleetwood2 - 1QPR
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Fleetwood
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Championship
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Fleetwood Town 1-3 Queens Park Rangers
Fleetwood Town will be fully motivated to earn a shock result on Saturday and earn a place in the fourth round of the FA Cup for the first time in the club's history, although they face a tough assignment against QPR. The R's are likely to rotate their XI slightly from the one which drew with Sheffield United earlier in the week but should still have enough quality within the matchday squad to secure their passage into the next round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
27.29% ( 0.08) | 25.36% ( 0.04) | 47.34% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.7% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
