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Championship header 2

League One
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Fleetwood Town

MK Dons
1 - 2
Fleetwood

O'Hora (52')
Watson (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Johnston (72'), Batty (90+1')
Lynch (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Fleetwood
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 0-1 Fleetwood Town

 Given their respective form, neither team will feel particularly confident about collecting maximum points at the weekend. Nevertheless, MK Dons have been unable to avoid defeat on their home patch since August, so we think Fleetwood could edge this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawFleetwood Town
52.84% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 24.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.6% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)48.67% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (-0.073 -0.07)70.78% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)18.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)49.5% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)35.56% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)72.32% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 52.83%
    Fleetwood Town 23.08%
    Draw 24.08%
MK DonsDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.08%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Fleetwood

MK Dons
22.2%
Draw
22.2%
Fleetwood Town
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Fleetwood
1-1
MK Dons
Lane (51')
Biggins (47'), Butterworth (73'), Pilkington (82')
Darling (12')
Watson (82'), Lewington (90+5')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
MK Dons
3-3
Fleetwood
Twine (27', 39', 73')
O'Riley (81')
G (12'), Garner (32'), Batty (88')
Rossiter (63'), Biggins (78')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Fleetwood
1-1
MK Dons
Garner (61')
Burns (88')
Brown (83')
Kasumu (16'), Sorinola (68'), Lewington (90+2')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
MK Dons
3-1
Fleetwood
Mason (4', 21', 28')
Freeman (90+2')
Finley (83')
Coutts (34'), Finley (65'), Madden (82')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
MK Dons
P-P
Fleetwood
rhs 2.0
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> League One Full Table


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