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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Burton Albion |
61.97% ( 1.43) | 20.96% ( -0.39) | 17.07% ( -1.05) |
Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.6% ( -0.03) | 43.4% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.21% ( -0.03) | 65.79% ( 0.03) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.54% ( 0.42) | 13.46% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.55% ( 0.84) | 40.45% ( -0.84) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.2% ( -1.23) | 38.8% ( 1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.46% ( -1.19) | 75.54% ( 1.19) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Burton Albion |
2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.05% Total : 61.96% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.96% | 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |