EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
We said: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Buoyed by their thumping FA Cup success and enjoying the golden touch in defence in recent weeks, the stage is set for MK Dons to reach the fourth round of the EFL Cup.
The Dons have already taught Morecambe one footballing lesson this term, and the Shrimps' poor away form should rear its ugly head in a miserable day for the travelling fans.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 59.9% . A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.13% .
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%) , while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.49%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for MK Dons in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for MK Dons.
Result MK Dons Draw Morecambe 59.9% ( -0.04) 21.97% ( 0) 18.13% ( 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.76% ( 0.07)
53.96% ( 0.06) 46.04% ( -0.05)
31.65% ( 0.05) 68.34% ( -0.05)
85.04% ( 0.01) 14.96% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 56.62% ( 0.01) 43.38% ( -0.01)
60.86% ( 0.08) 39.13% ( -0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.15% ( 0.07) 75.85% ( -0.07)
MK Dons 59.9%
Morecambe 18.13%
Draw 21.96%
MK Dons Draw Morecambe 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 59.9% 1-1 @ 10.43% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.96% 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.13%
How you voted: MK Dons vs Morecambe
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rhs 2.0
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