League One | Gameweek 8
Nov 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe1 - 1Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 4-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
We said: Morecambe 0-2 Derby County
Derby County have not been convincing on the road so far this season but after scoring four on the weekend Warne's men will be confident in dealing with a struggling Morecambe at the Mazuma Stadium. Morecambe have a poor goalscoring record at home this year and it is hard to see a way that Adams's side get back into the clash if the Rams were to score first on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Derby County |
19.43% ( 0.03) | 23.6% ( 0.02) | 56.97% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
