We said: MK Dons 3-0 Taunton Town
In spite of MK Dons' underwhelming form at home, a lack of ruthlessness on the road is set to be Taunton's downfall against higher-level opposition this weekend.
Dray's men ought to enjoy the moment at Stadium MK, but the visitors will surely be consigned to a first-round exit as the Dons pick up a morale-boosting win and ticket to round two.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 68.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.