FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
3 - 2
MK Dons

Hackett-Fairchild (22'), Bishop (35' pen., 48' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Burns (19'), Eisa (61')
McEachran (38'), Lawrence (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Portsmouth and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Ipswich 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Newport
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 MK Dons

Although Portsmouth are unbeaten at home this season, their last five home games have finished all square after 90 minutes, and we think that they will play out another draw on Saturday, which would send the second-round tie to a replay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	MK Dons
54.06% ( -0)	24.39% ( -0)	21.55% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.72% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.48% (

51.52% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.68% (

73.32% (

-0)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

-0)

18.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.47% (

-0)

50.52%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.37% (

0.01)

38.62% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.63% (

0.01)

75.37% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 54.06%

MK Dons 21.55%

Draw 24.38%

Portsmouth	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.06%	1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 6.97% 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 21.55%