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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | MK Dons |
47.7% | 25.86% | 26.44% |
Both teams to score 50.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.95% | 53.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.36% | 74.63% |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% | 22.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% | 55.67% |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.97% | 35.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.23% | 71.77% |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 9.23% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.18% Total : 47.69% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.09% Total : 26.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |