

Barnsley3 - 1MK Dons
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
We said: Barnsley 2-1 MK Dons
Barnsley have enjoyed a far stronger start to the season than their visitors, and with renewed confidence on the back of two straight league victories, they should take all three points at Oakwell. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | MK Dons |
44.05% (![]() | 27.23% (![]() | 28.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43% (![]() | 57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.11% (![]() | 77.89% (![]() |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.29% (![]() | 25.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.37% (![]() | 60.63% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% (![]() | 35.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% (![]() | 72.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 12.33% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 8.38% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 44.05% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 9.45% 1-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.72% |