League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
2 - 0
Forest Green

Cole (15'), Martin (83')
Kitching (33')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Despite a poor run of late, Barnsley should still be good enough to get by Forest Green. Their experience should get them through the game, but the visitors will not make it an easy ride. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
49.95% ( -0.11)	24.41% ( 0.04)	25.64% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 54.29% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.25% (

-0.1)

47.75% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.06% (

-0.1)

69.95% (

0.09)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.85% (

-0.09)

19.15% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.2% (

-0.14)

50.8% (

0.14)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15% (

0.01)

32.85% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58% (

0.01)

69.42% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 49.94%

Forest Green Rovers 25.64%

Draw 24.41%

Barnsley	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.94%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.64%