Barnsley2 - 0Forest Green
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Barnsley 2-1 Forest Green Rovers
Despite a poor run of late, Barnsley should still be good enough to get by Forest Green. Their experience should get them through the game, but the visitors will not make it an easy ride. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
49.95% ( -0.11) | 24.41% ( 0.04) | 25.64% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.25% ( -0.1) | 47.75% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.06% ( -0.1) | 69.95% ( 0.09) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( -0.09) | 19.15% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.2% ( -0.14) | 50.8% ( 0.14) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( 0.01) | 32.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.58% ( 0.01) | 69.42% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.94% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.64% |
