EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2022 at 7pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Doncaster2 - 4Barnsley
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Doncaster Rovers and Barnsley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Doncaster 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Barnsley |
29.66% ( 0.01) | 26.61% ( 0) | 43.72% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.37% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.74% ( -0.02) | 54.26% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.34% ( -0.01) | 75.66% ( 0.01) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.85% ( -0) | 33.15% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.25% ( -0.01) | 69.75% ( 0.01) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% ( -0.01) | 24.65% ( 0.01) |