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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
West Ham logo

Southampton
vs.
West Ham

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Southampton and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Southampton could line up for Boxing Day's Premier League clash with West Ham United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-0 Southampton
Sunday, December 22 at 2pm in Premier League

West Ham United

All competitions
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Premier League

We say: Southampton 1-1 West Ham United

 Not since 2015 have West Ham fallen to defeat against the team starting the day at the bottom of the Premier League table, and while that trend should continue on Boxing Day, Lopetegui's men may have to be content with just the one point. Missing two of their principle attacking threats in Antonio and Paqueta, the Irons will have their work cut out against a Saints backline that has been shored up since Russell Martin's exit, and Juric's Premier League tenure appears destined to begin with a low-scoring stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a West Ham United win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 32.78% and a draw has a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.98%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Southampton win is 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.41%).

Result
SouthamptonDrawWest Ham United
32.78% (0.441 0.44) 22.25% (0.038 0.04) 44.97% (-0.47900000000001 -0.48)
Both teams to score 67.04% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.85% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)33.15% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.1% (-0.012 -0.01)54.9% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27% (0.229 0.23)20.73% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (0.358 0.36)53.36% (-0.362 -0.36)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.58% (-0.179 -0.18)15.42% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.75% (-0.334 -0.33)44.25% (0.332 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 32.78%
    West Ham United 44.97%
    Draw 22.25%
SouthamptonDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.062 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 32.78%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.92% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 2.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.48% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.31% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 44.97%

Who will win Thursday's Premier League clash between Southampton and West Ham?

Southampton
Draw
West Ham United
Southampton
21.9%
Draw
25.0%
West Ham United
53.1%
32
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 29
West Ham
1-0
Southampton
Aguerd (25')
> Match Report
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Southampton
1-1
West Ham
Perraud (20')
Rice (64')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2022 7.30pm
Fifth Round
Southampton
3-1
West Ham
Perraud (31'), Ward-Prowse (69' pen.), Broja (90+5')
Perraud (85'), Diallo (87')
Antonio (60')
Dawson (68')
> Preview
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
West Ham
2-3
Southampton
Antonio (49'), Benrahma (64')
Rice (34'), Dawson (60'), Bowen (68')
Elyounoussi (8'), Ward-Prowse (61' pen.), Bednarek (70')
Broja (66'), Bednarek (85'), Walker-Peters (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Southampton
0-0
West Ham
Romeu (13'), Stephens (71'), Salisu (90+2'), Hasenhuttl (90+5')
Antonio (71'), Rice (73')
Antonio (90+5')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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