Colchester2 - 0Gillingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
for
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
for
We said: Colchester United 1-0 Gillingham
With two of the division's lowest-scoring teams going head-to-head, we are anticipating a drab affair and a narrow triumph for the hosts when all is said and done. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Gillingham |
50.99% ( 0.43) | 26.05% ( 0.03) | 22.96% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 46.69% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.6% ( -0.49) | 56.4% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% ( -0.4) | 77.41% ( 0.4) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( -0.02) | 22.19% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.4% ( -0.03) | 55.6% ( 0.03) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60% ( -0.72) | 40% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.35% ( -0.66) | 76.65% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 50.98% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.35% Total : 22.96% |
