Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.