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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Lincoln City

Shrewsbury
1 - 0
Lincoln

Feeney (10')
Ainsworth (5'), Perry (28'), Feeney (34'), Benning (61'), Pierre (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Connor (4'), Erhahon (32'), Hackett (71'), Duffy (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Reading
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Lincoln City

Cellar-dwelling Shrewsbury have struggled for clean sheets all season, failing to add to August's shut-out against Leyton Orient, and that pattern should continue against Lincoln. Despite the away side's ranking, their inability to win on the road in seven attempts, including a meek loss to relegation-threatened Crawley (3-0), suggests Thursday will be far from straightforward; thus, the spoils could be shared on Boxing Day, with both teams scoring. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 67.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawLincoln City
13.03% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02) 19.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 67.62% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.29% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.98% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)45.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)80.95% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)12.16% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)37.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 13.03%
    Lincoln City 67.61%
    Draw 19.36%
Shrewsbury TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 4.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 13.03%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.36%
0-2 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 11.53%
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 8.53% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 4.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.89% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.51%
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 67.61%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Lincoln

Shrewsbury Town
Draw
Lincoln City
Shrewsbury Town
20.8%
Draw
12.5%
Lincoln City
66.7%
24
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
3-0
Shrewsbury
Bishop (6'), Hackett (58'), Sorensen (67')

Bowman (23'), Bennett (42')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Shrewsbury
0-1
Lincoln

Shipley (19'), Anderson (78')
Hamilton (79')
O'Connor (31'), Roughan (40'), Sorensen (49'), Jensen (88')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Shrewsbury
2-0
Lincoln
Leahy (45' pen.), Bayliss (60')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Shrewsbury
1-0
Lincoln
Udoh (84')
Leahy (22'), Bennett (51'), Vela (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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