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League One | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Lincoln
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Bishop (6'), Hackett (58'), Sorensen (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bowman (23'), Bennett (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 2-3 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Shrewsbury Town

Lincoln have enjoyed a resurgence in recent weeks and will be confident of edging close to the playoff picture with a third-straight victory on Tuesday night. Shrewsbury had to hold on in the second period for a vital three points at Reading, but we feel that the Shrews will be unable to repeat the trick at LNER Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
46.41% (-0.788 -0.79) 28.49% (-0.035 -0.04) 25.1% (0.824 0.82)
Both teams to score 42.32% (0.738 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.94% (0.585 0.59)63.06% (-0.584 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.49% (0.421 0.42)82.51% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (-0.122 -0.12)27.32% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (-0.158 -0.16)62.77% (0.158 0.16)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.23% (1.113 1.11)41.77% (-1.112 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (0.957 0.96)78.23% (-0.95699999999999 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 46.4%
    Shrewsbury Town 25.1%
    Draw 28.49%
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 14.8% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-0 @ 9.61% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.16% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 46.4%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 11.41% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 9.96% (0.087 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.199 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.168 0.17)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 25.1%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Shrewsbury

Lincoln City
66.7%
Draw
20.0%
Shrewsbury Town
13.3%
30
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Shrewsbury
0-1
Lincoln

Shipley (19'), Anderson (78')
Hamilton (79')
O'Connor (31'), Roughan (40'), Sorensen (49'), Jensen (88')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Shrewsbury
2-0
Lincoln
Leahy (45' pen.), Bayliss (60')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Shrewsbury
1-0
Lincoln
Udoh (84')
Leahy (22'), Bennett (51'), Vela (62')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Lincoln
1-1
Shrewsbury
McGrandles (43')
Fiorini (13'), Poole (89')
Leahy (50')
Udoh (30'), Whalley (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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