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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley |
26.02% ( -0.91) | 23.69% ( -0.45) | 50.29% ( 1.37) |
Both teams to score 57.05% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.72% ( 1.3) | 44.28% ( -1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.34% ( 1.25) | 66.65% ( -1.25) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.31% ( -0.02) | 30.69% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.06% ( -0.02) | 66.94% ( 0.02) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.31% ( 1.03) | 17.68% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.67% ( 1.76) | 48.32% ( -1.76) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.02% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |