League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Barnsley2 - 1Shrewsbury
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Peterborough
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
We said: Barnsley 3-1 Shrewsbury Town
Barnsley have netted three goals or more in six of their last seven games at Oakwell, while Shrewsbury's wretched road form has not produced near enough goals of late. This seems a straightforward home win for the Tykes, with Duff's team expected to be superior to the visiting side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.08%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
70.12% ( 0.8) | 18.92% ( -0.22) | 10.97% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 43.32% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.34% ( -0.51) | 47.66% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( -0.47) | 69.86% ( 0.48) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.61% ( 0.08) | 12.39% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.73% ( 0.16) | 38.27% ( -0.15) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.44% ( -1.37) | 50.56% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.96% ( -0.95) | 85.04% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
Barnsley 70.11%
Shrewsbury Town 10.97%
Draw 18.92%
| Barnsley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 2-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.87% Total : 70.11% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.55% Total : 18.92% | 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.19% Total : 10.97% |
How you voted: Barnsley vs Shrewsbury
Barnsley
84.2%Draw
15.8%Shrewsbury Town
0.0%19
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
