League One

League One | Gameweek 35

Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 2
Shrewsbury

Roberts (20'), McGoldrick (45+1')
McGoldrick (19'), Forsyth (48'), Cashin (54')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bayliss (49'), Leahy (72' pen.)
Leahy (15'), Moore (38')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Shrewsbury Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 2-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-0 Wycombe
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 71.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 9.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.19%) and 3-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
71.46% ( -0)	19.08% ( 0)	9.46%

Both teams to score 37.71% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.73% (

52.26% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.04% (

73.96% (

-0)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.62%

13.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.71% (

40.28% (

-0)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.53% (

56.47% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.26% (

88.74% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Derby County 71.45%

Shrewsbury Town 9.46%

Draw 19.08%

Derby County	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 15.28% 1-0 @ 15.19% 3-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 5.86% 4-0 @ 5.16% 4-1 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.11% Total : 71.45%	1-1 @ 8.68% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.08%	0-1 @ 4.32% 1-2 @ 2.48% 0-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.43% Total : 9.46%