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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Toyota Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
0 - 1
Urawa


Uchida (37'), Nogami (55'), Kubo (81'), Patric (90+2'), Chang-Rae (90+6')
Uchida (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Urawa Red Diamonds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 22 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, June 22 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds

With two sides who have experienced similar campaigns thus far, including recent ruts, we anticipate a tight contest on Wednesday which could be settled by a single goal. While the visitors fought hard to earn a point against Kashima Antlers last time out, they may fall just short away at a Nagoya Grampus side full of quality with their own need to end a winless streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Urawa Red Diamonds in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
27.47% (0.155 0.16) 26.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 45.8% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.74% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.26% (0.062999999999995 0.06)55.74% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.12% (0.052999999999997 0.05)76.88% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.37% (0.15899999999999 0.16)35.63% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.6% (0.162 0.16)72.4% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)24.29% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)58.66% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 27.48%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 45.79%
    Draw 26.72%
Nagoya GrampusDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 27.48%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 12.24% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.67% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.79%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa

Nagoya Grampus
42.1%
Draw
26.3%
Urawa Red Diamonds
31.6%
19
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 7am
Gameweek 10
Urawa
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Yasui (24'), Thiago (70' pen.)
Thiago (16'), Ito (31')
Izumi (90+2')
Yonemoto (41')
Aug 18, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 24
Urawa
1-0
Nagoya Grampus
Kante (11')
Koizumi (21'), Hoibraten (45'), Okubo (60'), Linssen (89')

Kawazura (16'), Maruyama (76')
Apr 9, 2023 7am
Aug 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 24
Nagoya Grampus
3-0
Urawa
Shigehiro (27'), Mateus (45+5'), Nagai (64')
Nakatani (59'), Nagai (74')
Jun 18, 2022 11am
Gameweek 17
Urawa
3-0
Nagoya Grampus
Scholz (21'), Ito (23'), Sekine (36')
Iwanami (30')

Mateus (42'), Nakatani (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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