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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Level-5 stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Avispa Fukuoka
2 - 1
Yokohama

Zahedi (20'), Wellington (70')
Oda (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Amano (83')
Kamijima (34'), Miyaichi (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Yokohama F Marinos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, June 22 at 7am in J1 League

We said: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Yokohama F Marinos

There is very little to split these two teams in the league table, and that is something that should be reflected in this midweek fixture. Both are heading into the game in good form, and that should lead to a close encounter where the points could end up being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawYokohama F Marinos
37.46% (0.17 0.17) 25.25% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 37.29% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 56.87% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (-0.136 -0.14)46.8% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-0.128 -0.13)69.06% (0.129 0.13)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)24.54% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (0.041999999999994 0.04)59.02% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)24.63% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-0.24 -0.24)59.14% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 37.46%
    Yokohama F Marinos 37.29%
    Draw 25.24%
Avispa FukuokaDrawYokohama F Marinos
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.79% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.009 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 37.46%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 37.29%

How you voted: Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama

Avispa Fukuoka
26.7%
Draw
33.3%
Yokohama F Marinos
40.0%
15
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2024 10am
Gameweek 2
Yokohama
0-1
Avispa Fukuoka

Dudu (45+1')
Konno (51')
Oct 28, 2023 6am
Gameweek 31
Avispa Fukuoka
0-4
Yokohama

Yamagishi (38'), Grolli (40')
Lopes (19', 25'), Uenaka (48'), Miyaichi (90+9')
May 28, 2023 6am
Gameweek 15
Yokohama
2-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Lopes (8', 20')
Kamijima (51'), Muscat (52'), Dudu (90+4')

Grolli (64')
Sep 10, 2022 11am
May 21, 2022 11am
Gameweek 14
Avispa Fukuoka
1-0
Yokohama
Croux (58')
Nakamura (20'), Miya (90+10')

Lopes (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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