With two of the J1 League's form teams squaring off, we certainly anticipate a close and hard-fought encounter at the weekend, which could be split by a single goal. The visitors will travel with confidence from three straight wins, but the league leaders have shown their quality more throughout the season and could get the job done on home turf to strengthen their position at the summit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Machida Zelvia	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
42.33% ( -0.03)	27.66% ( -0.01)	30.01% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 47.48% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.96% (

0.02)

58.03% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.28% (

0.02)

78.72% (

-0.02)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.91% (

-0)

27.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54% (

-0.01)

62.46% (

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.12% (

0.04)

34.88% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.38% (

0.04)

71.62% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Machida Zelvia 42.33%

Avispa Fukuoka 30.01%

Draw 27.65%

Machida Zelvia	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.33%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.65%	0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 30.01%