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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium
Gamba Osaka

Kashima Antlers
0 - 0
Gamba Osaka


Usami (39')
FT

Sakamoto (19'), Suzuki (39'), Handa (79'), Yamashita (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Gamba Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 2-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, June 22 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, June 22 at 10.30am in J1 League

We said: Kashima Antlers 1-1 Gamba Osaka

This should be one of the matches of the season in terms of competitiveness, both teams bringing numerous qualities to the table. The defensive record of Osaka suggests that they could keep things tight, yet we are backing the home side to earn a share of the spoils come the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 26.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawGamba Osaka
45.57% (0.056000000000004 0.06) 27.72% (-0.035 -0.04) 26.71% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.45% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.3% (0.107 0.11)59.7% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.99% (0.083000000000002 0.08)80.01% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.076999999999998 0.08)26.18% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (0.101 0.1)61.26% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.56% (0.041000000000004 0.04)38.44% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.81% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.19% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 45.56%
    Gamba Osaka 26.71%
    Draw 27.72%
Kashima AntlersDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 13.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 45.56%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.06% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 26.71%

How you voted: Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka

Kashima Antlers
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Gamba Osaka
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 7am
Gameweek 10
Gamba Osaka
1-2
Kashima Antlers
Sakamoto (39')
Usami (90+5')
Nakama (27'), Nono (54')
Hayakawa (68'), Suzuki (82'), Nono (84'), Chinen (90+7')
Jun 24, 2023 11am
Gameweek 18
Gamba Osaka
2-1
Kashima Antlers
Kurokawa (15'), Dawhan (34')
Yamamoto (72')
Ueda (88')
Ueda (59'), Araki (65')
Apr 29, 2023 11am
Gameweek 10
Kashima Antlers
4-0
Gamba Osaka
Nakama (48'), Suzuki (64'), Doi (86', 87')
Nov 5, 2022 5am
Feb 19, 2022 5am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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