COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jun 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Al Salam Stadium
South Africa1 - 1Mozambique
Wayne Dortley (39')
Brendon Moloisane (84')
Brendon Moloisane (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Labarina Alfandega (65')
Domingos (54'), Dario (74')
Domingos (54'), Dario (74')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between South Africa and Mozambique.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Africa 3-1 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Last Game: Guinea 0-1 Mozambique
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Mozambique |
| 51.88% | 26.68% | 21.43% |
| Both teams to score 43.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
