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South Africa national football team
COSAFA Cup | Semi-Finals
Jul 16, 2021 at 4pm UK
 
Mozambique national football team

South Africa
3 - 0
Mozambique

Ngcobo (24'), Yusuf Maart (59'), Victor Letsoalo (73' pen.)
Sithebe (38'), Ngcobo (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Macaime Junior (33'), M. Nangy (45+1'), Muze (58'), J. Pelembe (79'), Ernesto (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's COSAFA Cup clash between South Africa and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawMozambique
55.61%25.04%19.35%
Both teams to score 44.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.62%56.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6%77.4%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74%20.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39%52.6%
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.23%43.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.06%79.93%
Score Analysis
    South Africa 55.6%
    Mozambique 19.35%
    Draw 25.03%
South AfricaDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 14.15%
2-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 4.97%
4-0 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 55.6%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.33%
1-2 @ 4.83%
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 19.35%

How you voted: South Africa vs Mozambique

South Africa
91.3%
Draw
8.7%
Mozambique
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2014 4pm
Group Stage
South Africa
3-1
Mozambique
Parker (30' pen., 82'), Kekana (58')
Diogo (11')
Miro (52')
rhs 2.0
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