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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Stoke

Doak (34'), Hackney (73')
Edmundson (43'), Hackney (45+1'), Doak (56'), Azaz (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Burger (11'), Manhoef (27'), Wilmot (39'), Cannon (42'), Tchamadeu (59'), Gallagher (69'), Rose (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Hull City
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Stoke City

The travelling fans will be hoping that their side can start this game much better than they finished the last one. Nevertheless, though, we are backing Boro to come through with the three points, gaining revenge for the hammering that they took from the Potters last month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
45.99% (0.589 0.59) 25.09% (-0.157 -0.16) 28.91% (-0.43 -0.43)
Both teams to score 54.7% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (0.439 0.44)48.43% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.4 0.4)70.56% (-0.398 -0.4)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.444 0.44)21.08% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (0.686 0.69)53.9% (-0.685 -0.69)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)30.68% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (-0.101 -0.1)66.93% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 45.99%
    Stoke City 28.91%
    Draw 25.09%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.095 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.91%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
66.7%
Draw
13.9%
Stoke City
19.4%
36
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.15pm
Second Round
Middlesbrough
0-5
Stoke
Tezgel (14'), Mmaee (57'), Koumas (60'), Manhoef (65', 69')
McCabe (77')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Stoke
2-0
Middlesbrough
Bae (40'), Baker (71')
Laurent (46'), Wilmot (51'), Ennis (62')

Latte Lath (51')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
0-2
Stoke

McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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