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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Swansea logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Swansea

Latte Lath (25' pen.)
Engel (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cabango (14'), Franco (43'), Tymon (76'), Thomas (90+4'), Thomas (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, August 3 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Swansea City

With Swansea more settled under Williams, they could produce a few surprises this season. However, on this occasion, we are backing Boro to edge a competitive contest, potentially having to ride out some nervy moments in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 25.47% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.88%).

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
51.2% (1.671 1.67) 23.32% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 25.47% (-1.72 -1.72)
Both teams to score 57.76% (-1.792 -1.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.9% (-1.638 -1.64)43.09% (1.632 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (-1.635 -1.64)65.49% (1.632 1.63)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.05% (0.012 0.01)46.95% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-2.163 -2.16)30.49% (2.158 2.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-2.645 -2.65)66.7% (2.64 2.64)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 51.2%
    Swansea City 25.47%
    Draw 23.32%
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.129 0.13)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.646 0.65)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.577 0.58)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.343 0.34)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.153 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 51.2%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.362 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 25.47%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Swansea

Middlesbrough
79.6%
Draw
9.3%
Swansea City
11.1%
54
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Middlesbrough
2-0
Swansea
Latte Lath (45+1', 79')
Ayling (81'), Barlaser (84')

Cooper (78'), Cullen (86')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
1-2
Middlesbrough
Lowe (59')
Tymon (62'), Paterson (65')
Greenwood (43'), Silvera (78')
Howson (64'), Jones (67'), Latte Lath (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swansea
1-3
Middlesbrough
Piroe (15')
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swansea
1-1
Middlesbrough
Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')
McGree (46')
Bamba (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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