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Championship header 2

Championship
Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
3 - 0
Stoke

Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Swansea
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 West Brom
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Stoke City

 This has the feel of a game that will be regarded as 'must not lose' by both sides, and that is what we believe will transpire. A point apiece would keep things ticking over for both sides, so a low-scoring draw would not come as any great surprise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
41.68% (0.108 0.11) 24.87% (0.038 0.04) 33.45% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 57.61% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)45.59% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.08% (-0.201 -0.2)67.92% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)21.86% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (-0.058 -0.06)55.1% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.191 -0.19)26.27% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (-0.256 -0.26)61.38% (0.253 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.68%
    Stoke City 33.45%
    Draw 24.87%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 41.68%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 33.45%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
50.9%
Draw
29.8%
Stoke City
19.3%
57
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Whittaker (2')
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
> Preview
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
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> Championship Full Table


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