MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:37:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
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Swansea
3 - 0
Stoke

Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Swansea
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 West Brom
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Stoke City

 This has the feel of a game that will be regarded as 'must not lose' by both sides, and that is what we believe will transpire. A point apiece would keep things ticking over for both sides, so a low-scoring draw would not come as any great surprise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
41.68% (0.108 0.11) 24.87% (0.038 0.04) 33.45% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 57.61% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)45.59% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.08% (-0.201 -0.2)67.92% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)21.86% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (-0.058 -0.06)55.1% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.191 -0.19)26.27% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (-0.256 -0.26)61.38% (0.253 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.68%
    Stoke City 33.45%
    Draw 24.87%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 41.68%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 33.45%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
50.9%
Draw
29.8%
Stoke City
19.3%
57
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Whittaker (2')
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
> Preview
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116
> Championship Full Table


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