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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
West Brom logo

Stoke
2 - 2
West Brom

Manhoef (68'), Vidigal (78')
Thompson (89'), Burger (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Johnston (24'), Wallace (57')
Diangana (26'), M'Vila (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Huddersfield
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-2 Watford
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-1 West Bromwich Albion

Stoke have endured a mixed run of form in recent times and could struggle to keep hold of the likes of Johnston and Fellows in the West Brom attack. The Baggies will be raring to get back to winning ways following successive draws, and we are expecting the visitors to collect three points in Staffordshire on the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
26.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 26.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 47.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.07% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)56.12% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.81% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)77.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)36.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)73.74% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)23.76% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)57.9% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 26.13%
    West Bromwich Albion 47.24%
    Draw 26.62%
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.13%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 12.61%
0-2 @ 9.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.24%

How you voted: Stoke vs West Brom

Stoke City
13.2%
Draw
23.7%
West Bromwich Albion
63.2%
38
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 22
West Brom
1-1
Stoke
Thomas-Asante (35')
Yokuslu (44'), Bartley (45+2'), Fellows (83')
Gooch (12')
Burger (61')
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Stoke
2-1
West Brom
Griffiths (27' og.), Vidigal (65')
McNally (5'), Sidibe (45'), Travers (76')
Thomas-Asante (64')
Pieters (31'), Bartley (66'), Gardner-Hickman (68'), Griffiths (86')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
1-2
West Brom
Brown (30')
Molumby (59', 69')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
West Brom
1-3
Stoke
Robinson (73')
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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