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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
West Brom logo

Stoke
1 - 2
West Brom

Brown (30')
Brown (21'), Fox (61'), Pearson (64'), Powell (87'), Thompson (90+5')
Pearson (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Molumby (59', 69')
Pieters (44'), Chalobah (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Stoke
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-2 QPR
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Stoke's season has started to fizzle out after a good run of form in recent months, but the visit of a mentally-wounded West Brom side is a good opportunity to earn a victory in front of their home supporters. Albion simply need to starting winning away from the Hawthorns in order to keep their playoff dreams alive, but we envisage another frustrating afternoon for the Baggies faithful on Saturday - one which will end their promotion challenge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
39.02% (-0.324 -0.32) 26.28% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 34.7% (0.403 0.4)
Both teams to score 53.14% (0.315 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.5% (0.371 0.37)51.49% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.7% (0.322 0.32)73.3% (-0.318 -0.32)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)60.81% (0.012 0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.43100000000001 0.43)28.34% (-0.427 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (0.54 0.54)64.07% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 39.02%
    West Bromwich Albion 34.7%
    Draw 26.27%
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.7%

How you voted: Stoke vs West Brom

Stoke City
Draw
West Bromwich Albion
Stoke City
65.7%
Draw
25.7%
West Bromwich Albion
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
West Brom
1-3
Stoke
Robinson (73')
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
Stoke
1-0
West Brom
Powell (79')
Davies (75'), Surridge (90+5')

Livermore (51'), Johnstone (90+5')
Jan 20, 2020 8pm
West Brom
0-1
Stoke

Bartley (45')
Campbell (9')
Lindsay (28'), Allen (45'), Smith (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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