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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
49.04% ( -0.27) | 25.97% ( 0.11) | 24.99% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 48.94% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.5% ( -0.32) | 54.49% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.14% ( -0.27) | 75.85% ( 0.27) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.74% ( -0.25) | 22.25% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.31% ( -0.38) | 55.69% ( 0.38) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.95% ( -0.04) | 37.05% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.16% ( -0.04) | 73.84% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
1-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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