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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Blackburn logo

Stoke
3 - 2
Blackburn

Hoever (24', 43'), Campbell (75')
Sterling (69'), Brown (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Brereton Diaz (86'), Gallagher (90')
Morton (74'), Brereton Diaz (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Despite the difference in league positions, this should be a competitive match between two sides producing some of their best form this season. However, with Stoke possessing a poor home record, we are backing Blackburn to come through in a tight contest, potentially by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
49.04% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27) 25.97% (0.115 0.11) 24.99% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (-0.32400000000001 -0.32)54.49% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (-0.27 -0.27)75.85% (0.268 0.27)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74% (-0.254 -0.25)22.25% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (-0.382 -0.38)55.69% (0.381 0.38)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.95% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)37.05% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.16% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)73.84% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.03%
    Blackburn Rovers 24.99%
    Draw 25.97%
Stoke CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 12.38% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.99%

How you voted: Stoke vs Blackburn

Stoke City
25.5%
Draw
14.8%
Blackburn Rovers
59.7%
149
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Rankin-Costello (10'), Travis (41'), Famiwuya (59')
Baker (27')
Gayle (57'), Fosu (84'), Baker (90+6')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Stoke
0-1
Blackburn

Brown (60'), Davies (74'), Chester (75'), Wilmot (90')
Khadra (52')
Dolan (74'), Nyambe (81'), Pickering (89'), Brereton Diaz (90+1')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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