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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Stoke City |
38.63% ( 0.66) | 26.72% ( -0.04) | 34.64% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 51.67% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.64% ( 0.09) | 53.35% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.1% ( 0.07) | 74.89% ( -0.07) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.08% ( 0.41) | 26.92% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.75% ( 0.54) | 62.24% ( -0.53) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.71% ( -0.34) | 29.29% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.74% ( -0.42) | 65.25% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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