Championship

Championship | Gameweek 35

Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
1 - 5
Stoke

Pritchard (62')
Neill (22')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Pearson (45+2'), Laurent (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, February 25 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Brighton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Stoke City

Although Sunderland have enjoyed the better season thus far, the Black Cats are far from their best at present and we can only envisage a share of the spoils at the Stadium of Light. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Stoke City
38.63% ( 0.66)	26.72% ( -0.04)	34.64% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 51.67% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.64% (

0.09)

53.35% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1% (

0.07)

74.89% (

-0.07)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08% (

0.41)

26.92% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75% (

0.54)

62.24% (

-0.53)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

-0.34)

29.29% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.74% (

-0.42)

65.25% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 38.63%

Stoke City 34.64%

Draw 26.72%

Sunderland	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.63%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.64%