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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sunderland

Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland

Cooper (59')
Cooper (32'), Bennett (37'), Saville (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cirkin (81')
Hume (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland

Millwall are still in the playoff hunt, but manager Rowett will realise his side have tended to tail off towards the end of recent campaigns, so the pressure is on the hosts to keep earning points this month. Sunderland will have an exciting look to them with youngster Gelhardt leading the line, but the Black Cats might struggle physically in attacking areas against a Lions side that impose themselves on their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSunderland
46.13% (-0.064 -0.06) 26.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 27.36% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.27% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (0.045000000000002 0.05)55.01% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (0.036999999999999 0.04)76.28% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)23.81% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)57.98% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (0.078000000000003 0.08)35.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (0.081 0.08)72.09% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.12%
    Sunderland 27.36%
    Draw 26.52%
MillwallDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 12.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.12%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 27.36%

How you voted: Millwall vs Sunderland

Millwall
53.1%
Draw
21.9%
Sunderland
25.0%
32
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
2-2
Millwall
Grabban (12'), Matthews (46')
Oviedo (62'), Cattermole (65'), Honeyman (69')
Saville (16', 20')
Nov 5, 2004 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Sunderland
Lawrence (45'), Wise (33' pen.)
Wise (7')

Arca (12'), Lawrence (32'), Robinson (41'), Whitley (70')
Oct 16, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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