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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sunderland

Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland

Cooper (59')
Cooper (32'), Bennett (37'), Saville (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cirkin (81')
Hume (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland

Millwall are still in the playoff hunt, but manager Rowett will realise his side have tended to tail off towards the end of recent campaigns, so the pressure is on the hosts to keep earning points this month. Sunderland will have an exciting look to them with youngster Gelhardt leading the line, but the Black Cats might struggle physically in attacking areas against a Lions side that impose themselves on their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSunderland
46.13% (-0.064 -0.06) 26.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 27.36% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.27% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (0.045000000000002 0.05)55.01% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (0.036999999999999 0.04)76.28% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)23.81% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)57.98% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (0.078000000000003 0.08)35.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (0.081 0.08)72.09% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.12%
    Sunderland 27.36%
    Draw 26.52%
MillwallDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 12.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.12%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 27.36%

How you voted: Millwall vs Sunderland

Millwall
53.1%
Draw
21.9%
Sunderland
25.0%
32
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
2-2
Millwall
Grabban (12'), Matthews (46')
Oviedo (62'), Cattermole (65'), Honeyman (69')
Saville (16', 20')
Nov 5, 2004 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Sunderland
Lawrence (45'), Wise (33' pen.)
Wise (7')

Arca (12'), Lawrence (32'), Robinson (41'), Whitley (70')
Oct 16, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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