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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Millwall

Forss (54')
Crooks (45+2'), Howson (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Long (39'), Wallace (47'), Saville (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Millwall

Given the size of their defeat in the FA Cup, we do not expect Boro to be the same side that had regularly impressed before that defeat. Nevertheless, the home side should still possess that extra bit of quality in the final third to get over the line in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
48.67% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 25.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.7% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 50.59% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)52.65% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (-0.02 -0.02)74.3% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)21.65% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)35.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)72.19% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.67%
    Millwall 25.7%
    Draw 25.62%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.98%
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 48.67%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 25.7%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Millwall
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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