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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Millwall |
48.67% ( -0.01) | 25.62% ( 0.01) | 25.7% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.59% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.35% ( -0.02) | 52.65% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.7% ( -0.02) | 74.3% ( 0.02) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% ( -0.01) | 21.65% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.22% ( -0.02) | 54.77% ( 0.02) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.57% ( -0.01) | 35.43% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.8% ( -0.01) | 72.19% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 48.67% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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