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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Middlesbrough logo

Norwich
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Sargent (7')
Hayden (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Lenihan (22'), Forss (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Norwich
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Middlesbrough

This is one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend and we feel that Norwich will have every confidence of extending their revival. Nevertheless, Boro look a different side under Carrick, and the visitors could lead Carrow Road with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
42.6% (0.14899999999999 0.15) 24.83% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 32.57% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 57.46% (-0.185 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33% (-0.216 -0.22)45.67% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01% (-0.205 -0.2)67.99% (0.202 0.2)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)21.46% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.5% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)54.49% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (-0.22 -0.22)26.84% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (-0.29 -0.29)62.14% (0.286 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 42.6%
    Middlesbrough 32.57%
    Draw 24.83%
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.6%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 32.57%

How you voted: Norwich vs Middlesbrough

Norwich City
80.6%
Draw
3.2%
Middlesbrough
16.1%
31
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 5.30pm
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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