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Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Stoke logo

Norwich
3 - 1
Stoke

Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Dowell (19'), Hernandez (45+2'), McCallum (59'), Hayden (62'), Byram (66'), Hanley (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Powell (90+2')
Gayle (32'), Laurent (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Stoke City

Stoke's inconsistency means that you struggle to predict their every move, and the same applies here as they make the long trip to East Anglia. However, they rarely lose three on the bounce, and we feel that they will do enough to earn a share of the spoils against opponents with a manager under increasing pressure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
48.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.39% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 26.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (0.030000000000001 0.03)51.37% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.026 0.03)73.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.23% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87% (0.024999999999999 0.02)54.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.33% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)71.04% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 48.42%
    Stoke City 26.18%
    Draw 25.38%
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.42%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Norwich vs Stoke

Norwich City
57.6%
Draw
24.2%
Stoke City
18.2%
33
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Stoke
2-3
Norwich
Campbell (70'), Collins (79')
Batth (18'), Fletcher (28')
Buendia (18'), Pukki (27', 57')
Stiepermann (23'), Hanley (58'), Buendia (64')
Buendia (69')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Jan 13, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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