Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
48.42% ( 0.01) | 25.39% ( -0.01) | 26.18% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.72% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.62% ( 0.03) | 51.37% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.81% ( 0.03) | 73.19% ( -0.03) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.77% ( 0.02) | 21.23% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.87% ( 0.02) | 54.13% ( -0.02) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.66% ( 0.02) | 34.33% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.96% ( 0.02) | 71.04% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.42% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
> Championship Full Table |