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Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Stoke logo

Norwich
3 - 1
Stoke

Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Dowell (19'), Hernandez (45+2'), McCallum (59'), Hayden (62'), Byram (66'), Hanley (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Powell (90+2')
Gayle (32'), Laurent (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Stoke City

Stoke's inconsistency means that you struggle to predict their every move, and the same applies here as they make the long trip to East Anglia. However, they rarely lose three on the bounce, and we feel that they will do enough to earn a share of the spoils against opponents with a manager under increasing pressure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
48.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.39% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 26.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (0.030000000000001 0.03)51.37% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.026 0.03)73.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.23% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87% (0.024999999999999 0.02)54.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.33% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)71.04% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 48.42%
    Stoke City 26.18%
    Draw 25.38%
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.42%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Norwich vs Stoke

Norwich City
Draw
Stoke City
Norwich City
57.6%
Draw
24.2%
Stoke City
18.2%
33
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Stoke
2-3
Norwich
Campbell (70'), Collins (79')
Batth (18'), Fletcher (28')
Buendia (18'), Pukki (27', 57')
Stiepermann (23'), Hanley (58'), Buendia (64')
Buendia (69')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Jan 13, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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