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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
32.26% ( -0.01) | 26.47% ( -0.04) | 41.27% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.92% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.22% ( 0.16) | 52.77% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.59% ( 0.14) | 74.4% ( -0.14) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.44% ( 0.07) | 30.55% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.22% ( 0.09) | 66.78% ( -0.09) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.77% ( 0.1) | 25.23% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.03% ( 0.14) | 59.97% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.26% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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