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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Bristol City

Millwall
0 - 0
Bristol City

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Millwall and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 0-2 Millwall
Monday, December 26 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-0 Bristol City

Millwall are back at The Den after a successful trip to Watford and will be fully confident in collecting another three points on Thursday night. The Bristol City camp seems a very unhappy place to be at the moment, and at a ground where you need to stick together and fight for a result, it is hard to see the Robins getting anything for their efforts in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawBristol City
63.8% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 21.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 14.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
Both teams to score 43.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (0.036000000000001 0.04)52.31% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (0.030999999999999 0.03)74% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (0.038999999999987 0.04)15.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.06% (0.07 0.07)44.94% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.1% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)47.9% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.84% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)83.16% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 63.79%
    Bristol City 14.3%
    Draw 21.9%
MillwallDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.96%
2-0 @ 12.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.93% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.66% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 63.79%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.9%
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 14.3%

How you voted: Millwall vs Bristol City

Millwall
86.8%
Draw
10.3%
Bristol City
2.9%
68
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 2, 2022 1pm
Bristol City
3-2
Millwall
Weimann (7', 73', 85')
Towler (28'), O'Dowda (48'), Semenyo (67'), Wells (90+4')
Bradshaw (23'), Afobe (29' pen.)
Cooper (20'), Afobe (84')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Millwall
4-1
Bristol City
Wallace (5'), Malone (31'), Mitchell (52'), Bradshaw (58')
Mitchell (45'), McNamara (68')
Conway (16')
Baker (73')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Fourth Round
Millwall
0-3
Bristol City
Diedhiou (32' pen.), Wells (58'), Semenyo (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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