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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Watford |
30.97% ( 2.67) | 26.12% ( 0.31) | 42.91% ( -2.98) |
Both teams to score 52.54% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.24% ( -0.01) | 51.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.47% ( -0.01) | 73.53% ( 0.02) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% ( 1.94) | 30.92% ( -1.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% ( 2.22) | 67.21% ( -2.22) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.05% ( -1.43) | 23.95% ( 1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.83% ( -2.08) | 58.17% ( 2.09) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.3) Other @ 3% Total : 30.97% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.66) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.48) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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