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Championship | Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Watford logo

Cardiff
1 - 2
Watford

Kipre (9')
Nkounkou (40'), Wintle (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
Sema (77'), Gaspar (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Watford
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Watford

Hudson and Cardiff will be on a high after getting back on track at the weekend. Nevertheless, there can be no doubting that Watford possess the superior quality in the final third, something which we feel will lead to the Hornets edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
34.66% (0.268 0.27) 27.78% (0.179 0.18) 37.56% (-0.443 -0.44)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53% (-0.641 -0.64)57.47% (0.642 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73% (-0.511 -0.51)78.27% (0.512 0.51)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-0.146 -0.15)31.33% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (-0.171 -0.17)67.69% (0.173 0.17)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.574 -0.57)29.52% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.705 -0.7)65.53% (0.708 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.66%
    Watford 37.56%
    Draw 27.77%
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.56%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Watford

Cardiff City
18.0%
Draw
13.5%
Watford
68.5%
89
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
Feb 22, 2019 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-5
Watford
Bamba (82')
Paterson (85')
Deulofeu (18', 61', 63'), Deeney (73', 91')
Capoue (30'), Pereyra (55')
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Watford
3-2
Cardiff
Deulofeu (16'), Holebas (52'), Quina (68')
Hoilett (80'), Reid (82')
Jul 28, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
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Sunday, June 30
 
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8pm
Monday, July 1
 
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Tuesday, July 2
 
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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