Championship | Gameweek 17
Oct 23, 2022 at 12pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea2 - 0Cardiff
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swansea 3-2 Reading
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 3-0 Cardiff
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Swansea City 2-1 Cardiff City
Given the rivalry between these two sides, we expect a far more competitive encounter than the league positions suggest. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore the form of the Swans, who should have enough quality in the final third to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
51.06% ( 0.08) | 25.4% ( -0.06) | 23.54% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.14% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
