Championship

Championship | Gameweek 15

Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
4 - 0
Swansea

Vitinho (15'), Rodriguez (29', 57'), Zaroury (45+3')
Brownhill (61')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Sorinola (23'), Cabango (34'), Fulton (38'), Latibeaudiere (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burnley 1-1 Swansea City

With this being a meeting with two of the form teams in the division, we are expecting a highly-competitive contest. While Swansea are enjoying their best-ever run under Martin, we cannot ignore the amount of draws that Burnley have recorded this campaign, leading us to predict a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Swansea City
59.78% ( 0.1)	21.99% ( -0.06)	18.22% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54% (

0.21)

46% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.69% (

0.2)

68.3% (

-0.2)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.01% (

0.1)

14.98% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.57% (

0.2)

43.42% (

-0.2)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.99% (

0.08)

39% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.27% (

0.08)

75.72% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Burnley 59.77%

Swansea City 18.22%

Draw 21.99%

Burnley	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 59.77%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.99%	0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.22%