Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.