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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Cardiff City logo

QPR
3 - 0
Cardiff

Dykes (19' pen., 33'), Paal (74')
Johansen (26'), Paal (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ng (1'), Nelson (28'), Nkounkou (54'), Wintle (70'), Harris (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 3-1 QPR
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Coventry
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Cardiff City

Given the uncertainty at both clubs in one way or another, any result feels possible. Nevertheless, we can only back QPR to continue their form in front of their own supporters, potentially edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawCardiff City
46.26% (0.624 0.62) 26.74% (0.204 0.2) 27% (-0.826 -0.83)
Both teams to score 48.37% (-1.158 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95% (-1.218 -1.22)56.04% (1.218 1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (-0.997 -1)77.12% (0.997 1)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.235 -0.23)24.2% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.47% (-0.333 -0.33)58.53% (0.332 0.33)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82% (-1.325 -1.33)36.18% (1.327 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03% (-1.374 -1.37)72.97% (1.373 1.37)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.26%
    Cardiff City 27%
    Draw 26.73%
Queens Park RangersDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.42% (0.49 0.49)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.26%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.402 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.18 -0.18)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 27%

How you voted: QPR vs Cardiff

Queens Park Rangers
Draw
Cardiff City
Queens Park Rangers
61.9%
Draw
19.0%
Cardiff City
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
QPR
1-2
Cardiff
Gray (38')
Dickie (73')
Davies (70'), Colwill (74')
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff
0-1
QPR
Gray (37')
Dickie (47'), Adomah (85')
Jan 20, 2021 7pm
Cardiff
0-1
QPR
Willock (71')
Barbet (36'), Cameron (48'), Chair (89')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
QPR
3-2
Cardiff
Chair (15'), Kane (27'), Ball (90+1')
Chair (15'), Cameron (31'), Kane (45+2'), Barbet (48')
Ralls (49' pen., 85')
Ralls (22'), Bacuna (38'), Tomlin (75')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
QPR
6-1
Cardiff
Wells (9', 48', 64'), Osayi-Samuel (27', 41'), Eze (57')
Leistner (39'), Amos (86')
Vaulks (91')
Tomlin (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds372310474235179
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
3Burnley372015250113975
4Sunderland371912655342169
5Bristol City38141594941857
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom371317747331456
7Coventry CityCoventry37168135248456
8Middlesbrough37158145748953
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn37157154138352
10Watford37157154750-352
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
12Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
13Millwall371212133639-348
14Queens Park RangersQPR371111154248-644
15Preston North EndPreston37917113743-644
16Swansea CitySwansea37128173847-944
17Portsmouth37119174559-1442
18Hull City371010173846-840
19Stoke CityStoke37912163750-1339
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd37912163855-1739
21Cardiff CityCardiff37812174061-2136
22Derby CountyDerby3798203749-1235
23Luton TownLuton3797213460-2634
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth37712183874-3633


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