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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
QPR logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
QPR

Wells (61')
Williams (53'), Massengo (76'), Scott (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Johansen (19'), T (22')
Amos (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Queens Park Rangers

Although QPR had been building a head of steam before the international break, it remains to be seen how they will react to the enforced break. For us, it can only have helped Bristol City, leading to us to back a low-scoring draw at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
36.68% (-0.445 -0.45) 26.31% (-0.129 -0.13) 37% (0.57100000000001 0.57)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.433 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (0.546 0.55)51.51% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (0.473 0.47)73.31% (-0.477 -0.48)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (0.00099999999999056 0)27.17% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.59100000000001 0.59)26.98% (-0.594 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.767 0.77)62.33% (-0.77099999999999 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 36.68%
    Queens Park Rangers 37%
    Draw 26.31%
Bristol CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.211 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.68%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.095999999999998 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37%

How you voted: Bristol City vs QPR

Bristol City
31.4%
Draw
28.6%
Queens Park Rangers
40.0%
35
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-2
QPR
Scott (3')
King (45+3'), Weimann (67')
King (56')
Austin (45+3' pen.), Barbet (90+3')
Dunne (22'), Dykes (65'), Field (74')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
QPR
1-2
Bristol City
McCallum (54')
Gray (51'), Barbet (79'), Ball (85'), Johansen (89')
Martin (45'), Wells (90+2')
Bakinson (53')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
QPR

Lansbury (85'), Diedhiou (88')
Chair (11'), Dickie (22')
Kakay (71'), Dickie (74'), Ball (76')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
QPR
1-2
Bristol City
Dickie (12')
Dickie (27'), Carroll (69')
Wells (40'), Nagy (50')
Wells (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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