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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
36.68% ( -0.45) | 26.31% ( -0.13) | 37% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.49% ( 0.55) | 51.51% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.69% ( 0.47) | 73.31% ( -0.48) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.83% ( 0) | 27.17% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.43% ( 0) | 62.57% ( -0.01) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% ( 0.59) | 26.98% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.67% ( 0.77) | 62.33% ( -0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.68% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.08% Total : 37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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