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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
QPR logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
QPR

Wells (61')
Williams (53'), Massengo (76'), Scott (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Johansen (19'), T (22')
Amos (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Queens Park Rangers

Although QPR had been building a head of steam before the international break, it remains to be seen how they will react to the enforced break. For us, it can only have helped Bristol City, leading to us to back a low-scoring draw at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
36.68% (-0.445 -0.45) 26.31% (-0.129 -0.13) 37% (0.57100000000001 0.57)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.433 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (0.546 0.55)51.51% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (0.473 0.47)73.31% (-0.477 -0.48)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (0.00099999999999056 0)27.17% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.59100000000001 0.59)26.98% (-0.594 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.767 0.77)62.33% (-0.77099999999999 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 36.68%
    Queens Park Rangers 37%
    Draw 26.31%
Bristol CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.211 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.68%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.095999999999998 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37%

How you voted: Bristol City vs QPR

Bristol City
31.4%
Draw
28.6%
Queens Park Rangers
40.0%
35
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-2
QPR
Scott (3')
King (45+3'), Weimann (67')
King (56')
Austin (45+3' pen.), Barbet (90+3')
Dunne (22'), Dykes (65'), Field (74')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
QPR
1-2
Bristol City
McCallum (54')
Gray (51'), Barbet (79'), Ball (85'), Johansen (89')
Martin (45'), Wells (90+2')
Bakinson (53')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
QPR

Lansbury (85'), Diedhiou (88')
Chair (11'), Dickie (22')
Kakay (71'), Dickie (74'), Ball (76')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
QPR
1-2
Bristol City
Dickie (12')
Dickie (27'), Carroll (69')
Wells (40'), Nagy (50')
Wells (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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