Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City1 - 2QPR
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Bristol City 1-1 Queens Park Rangers
Although QPR had been building a head of steam before the international break, it remains to be seen how they will react to the enforced break. For us, it can only have helped Bristol City, leading to us to back a low-scoring draw at Ashton Gate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
36.68% ( -0.45) | 26.31% ( -0.13) | 37% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.49% ( 0.55) | 51.51% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.69% ( 0.47) | 73.31% ( -0.48) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0) | 27.17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.43% ( 0) | 62.57% ( -0.01) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( 0.59) | 26.98% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.67% ( 0.77) | 62.33% ( -0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
Bristol City 36.68%
Queens Park Rangers 37%
Draw 26.31%
| Bristol City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.68% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.08% Total : 37% |
How you voted: Bristol City vs QPR
Bristol City
31.4%Draw
28.6%Queens Park Rangers
40.0%35
