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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
39.96% ( -0.75) | 25.5% ( 0.19) | 34.54% ( 0.56) |
Both teams to score 55.71% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.82% ( -0.75) | 48.17% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.67% ( -0.69) | 70.33% ( 0.69) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% ( -0.71) | 23.84% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% ( -1.03) | 58.02% ( 1.03) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% ( -0.02) | 26.84% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.85% ( -0.02) | 62.15% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.96% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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