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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 12pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Swansea logo

Bristol City
1 - 1
Swansea

Conway (24')
Pring (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ntcham (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Cardiff
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-3 Swansea City

Bristol City are not shy in front of goal but it is a leaky defence at the other end that has hampered their start to this Championship campaign. Swansea are high on confidence after six wins in the last seven and will be eyeing up a fragile Robins' defence when they visit Ashton Gate on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
39.96% (-0.753 -0.75) 25.5% (0.194 0.19) 34.54% (0.563 0.56)
Both teams to score 55.71% (-0.533 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (-0.747 -0.75)48.17% (0.75 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (-0.687 -0.69)70.33% (0.69 0.69)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-0.71000000000001 -0.71)23.84% (0.713 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (-1.03 -1.03)58.02% (1.032 1.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)26.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)62.15% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 39.96%
    Swansea City 34.54%
    Draw 25.49%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.093 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.96%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.253 0.25)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 34.54%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Swansea

Bristol City
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Swansea City
66.7%
54
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Swansea
3-1
Bristol City
Obafemi (54'), Christie (79'), Piroe (90+4')
Obafemi (56'), Christie (90+2')
Weimann (42')
Klose (59'), Dasilva (69'), Semenyo (86'), Martin (90+2'), Williams (90+4')
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
0-1
Swansea

Simpson (36'), Weimann (58'), Atkinson (76'), Semenyo (84')
Piroe (19')
Fulton (17'), Piroe (35'), Manning (47'), Bidwell (57'), Latibeaudiere (67'), Grimes (90')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Swansea
1-3
Bristol City
Ayew (55' pen.)
Bidwell (61')
Wells (66'), Palmer (80'), Semenyo (90+7')
Towler (25'), Semenyo (90+10')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Wells (83' pen.)
Wells (89')
Lowe (51')
Smith (32'), Roberts (80'), Fulton (81'), Grimes (83'), Ayew (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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