EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
1 - 3
Lincoln

Conway (80')
Low (34')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Virtue (6'), House (15'), O'Connor (49')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bristol City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Chippenham 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 2-0 Lincoln City

Confidence levels in the Lincoln camp would have hit a new low with the weekend's FA Cup embarrassment, and meeting a higher-tier side will not help the discontent from the visiting end either. Bristol City have not covered themselves in glory in recent weeks either, but Pearson's side should have enough quality to make it through to the next phase of the EFL Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Lincoln City
38% ( -0.04)	24.87% ( -0.01)	37.13% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 58.23% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.95% (

0.05)

45.05% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.6% (

0.05)

67.4% (

-0.05)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54% (

-0)

23.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.53% (

-0)

57.47% (

-0)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.08% (

0.05)

23.92% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.86% (

0.07)

58.13% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 38%

Lincoln City 37.13%

Draw 24.86%

Bristol City	Draw	Lincoln City
2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 38%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86%	1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.13%